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Belated Nokia Navteq Google etc thoughts

| Permanent Link | Open Data, LBS, Locative

Everyone knows about the Nokia aquisition of Navteq (see Directions, Ed Parsons), and there's been a lot of handwringing and speculation about what it all means. Particularly what it means for Google (+Apple). One scenario is that Nokia decides to start limiting who gets their data (i.e. stop selling it to Google).

Rather than stop selling data to Google, what if Nokia/Navteq simply raise the price? That would open the door wider for TomTom/TeleAtlas to sell their data. Or it might make other schemes of data collection more economically competitive.

It may make TomTom/TeleAtlas an attractive takeover target for Google. What better way to get into the device selling business than with a company that has a pretty sizable market share with a zillion units in the field? All you have to do is take a look at TomTom's "PLUS Services" page to realize that TomTom is a hair's breadth away from selling a local search device capable of delivering advertising-supported content. What if the Google Phone is really a personal search assistant, not a phone?

But let's say that Google doesn't buy TomTom. What else could they do? They could use OpenStreetMap data as some have pointed out. But stopping there is pretty conventional thinking. Let's assume that Google, the primary sponsor of the Google Lunar X PRIZE, isn't going to take the conventional route. Maybe they will take up automated feature extraction from their imagery and send the tricky parts to a bevy of human helpers much as was done in the Fosset and Gray searches. Or, maybe they will help foster an entirely new means (seen via BlinkGeo) of collecting data. Human-augmented feature extraction (for pay, with redundancy built in for safety) or data collection drones, or a combination of the two, may not be so far-fetched. The potential of having all the mobile GPS devices in the world upload their locations is largely untapped as well (Inrix is showing how it could work). The same goes for mobile phone location data.

Bottom line. I don't count Google out. Instead it's fair to say that there will be interesting developments.


Comments

2007-10-08 22:24 | Posted by skip | none
All this blather about collecting data from users is alot of hot air. For maps to be useable for Navigation you need geocoded data, you need lat long coordinates to pinpoint turn by turn instructions.
2007-10-12 12:03 | Posted by Andres | http://www.blinkgeo.com
Allan,

Nice post. Just now came across it. I think that we are seeing some volatility in the geospatial industry as a result of the emergence of GIS/LBS in the mainstream. The Nokia/Navteq deal to me seems a great example of how with volatility come risk and pressure to expand market share and/or mitigate loss of market share. Whether this 'gold rush' is real or perceived remains to be seen, but some of it seems reminiscent of the pre-dot-com-bust days. I am still trying to make sense of how a company with annual revenues less than $200 m can have a valuation of $8.1 b.

Cheers,

Andres
2007-10-16 15:47 | Posted by öhi
first, NVT does not have dollar 200 million revenues but dollar 200 million ebitda. furthermore, check the growth rate and the nature of the business where each additionally sold unit delivers right to the bottom line as their marginal costs are close to zero.



To compare an industrial asset like NVT to a dotcom boom company seems an odd comparison. to build an asset like theirs will take several billions and several years to build.
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